The #War in the Middle East As I see it ?
The Israel-Gaza-Beirut war is complex and hard to fully grasp. While it may appear to be a religious struggle on the surface, at its core, it is driven by the region’s vast oil resources. This war will only end if the oil reserves in the area are depleted or if a viable alternative to oil is discovered in Europe or America. Ultimately, this is a war of the world’s major powers, fought indirectly through their proxies. The following points provide further insight into this conflict:
1. Iran takes permission from China and Russia for all its military actions in the region, as they are its only two allies.
2. China and Russia will never openly help Iran against Israel and Iran will not directly attack Israeli military bases or civilian areas.
3. To keep its people satisfied, Iran sends missiles and rockets to areas in Israel where they cause the least damage.
4. Arabs, Turkey, Pakistan and Egypt are slaves of America and will never think of disobeying their master. They hold their respective countries dearer to themselves than the holy land of Aqsa.
5. Iran does not engage directly with Israel through its own military, preferring to use proxy groups like Hezbollah, Houthis etc
6. Instead of a full-scale war, Iran supports these proxy groups in Lebanon, Syria and Gaza to avoid a direct fight with Israel.
7. Although Iran has advanced missiles and drones, it has not used them directly against Israel, letting its proxies carry out most attacks.
8. Iran focuses more on protecting its own borders and influencing the region than on attacking Israel with full force.
9. Iran also stays involved in diplomatic talks, like nuclear negotiations and keeps ties with countries that have relations with Israel to avoid provoking a major conflict.
10. Iran’s weak economy, worsened by sanctions, prevents it from sustaining a long war with Israel.
11. Even though Iran is involved in Syria, it avoids using the country as a launchpad for large attacks on Israel, responding lightly to Israeli airstrikes.
12. Iran is careful not to provoke the U.S., keeping its conflict with Israel at a proxy level to avoid drawing in American forces.
13. Hezbollah, Iran’s most powerful proxy, has not launched a full-scale attack on Israel since 2006, fearing a strong Israeli retaliation.
14. Finally, Israel’s powerful military, advanced defense systems, like the Iron Dome and full support from America and England make Iran cautious about engaging in direct conflict.
In conclusion, Israel is facing economic losses but expanding its geographical control. Iran is also experiencing economic setbacks, while gaining the support of its emotionally-driven, less informed citizens and fans. Meanwhile, Lebanon and Gaza are suffering the loss of lives, infrastructure and more in this semi-scripted proxy war in the Middle East. At the same time, Turkey, Egypt, the Arab states and Pakistan are busy licking the boots of the Americans."
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Sahil Sharifdin Bhat
©️ Disclaimer
It is for educational purpose only. I have nothing to do with Geopolitics and wars 😂
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